[squidbeak]

3 seems the strongest of these arguments. The 'other techs plateaued' argument ignores that this is the first tech ever to convert electricity into thought and agency. There isn't a precedent for AI, and until intelligence stops scaling with compute, any assumption of a limit - that may not even exist - being reached in the few years left before jobs are wiped out is arbitrary faith.

I agree though, that business leadership roles will still survive - with some industries, wherever some principle or vision needs to be maintained - with the normal little adjustments humans might prefer to feel out for themselves. Perhaps also politicians, sportsmen, escorts, priests, anyone involved in spiritual and new age therapy. But this is still close to total. And aside from ownership/leadership which can earn in power and influence, it isn't clear how any of these jobs would be paid.