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by punkrex 25 days ago
This article and the one before it are based on a paper in nature that says if the seas rise 10ft-23ft that New Orleans is screwed. Notably it does not predict this, just says that if sea levels rise the city is screwed. Which it is!

But so is lower Manhattan, Miami, 60% of the land in the Netherlands, almost all of Bangladesh, along with numerous other places.

Now 3m-7m is vastly higher than any current predictions, but hey lets scare monger about a single city!

2 comments

> But so is lower Manhattan, Miami, 60% of the land in the Netherlands, almost all of Bangladesh, along with numerous other places.

From page 1 of the paper: "Coastal Louisiana has been referred to as 'canary in the coal mine' with respect to climate impacts. As highlighted in the Sixth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC), the central US Gulf Coast is the single most exposed LECZ (low-elevation coastal zone) in the world in terms of projected relative sea-level (RSL) rise throughout this century."

> Notably it does not predict this

Again from page 1 of the paper: "The initial impetus consists of new evidence that RSL in this region is probably committed to 3-7m of future rise, with a shoreline bound to migrate as much as 100km inland. We argue that future RSL rise to this elevation – judging from field evidence rather than climate model output – is, in fact, a best-case scenario."

But most of that relative sea changes comes from the land locally sinking, not from the sea globally rising. The title making it sound as if its climate change causing this issue is sensationalist, this would have happened even if the seas didn't rise.
Google has: Global mean sea level is projected to rise by 0.28 to 1.02 meters by 2100

The 3-7m! Relocate now! stuff seems unfounded and irresponsible.