[losvedir]

Oh, this is talking about the junior to senior pipeline. I thought it was going to be about improvements in AI capabilities.

I think it's reasonable in 5 years that most of what I do as a senior dev (yes, even turning vague notions into concrete deliverables, giving high level ideas of tradeoffs, and so on) will also be automated away.

Does anyone have interesting blog posts on what that means? Ideas about what the new world may look like? Will existing software engineers be running "dark factories"?

[ilaksh]

In less than five years it will be clear that unaugmented humans are a bottleneck.

So many jobs as such may be limited to humans with high bandwidth BCI connected to AI, that effectively gives them an AI exobrain. But even then the AI would need to do most of the work or the human would just slow things down.