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by Gring 4954 days ago
Mexico's problem is in essense, that outside market pressure makes its inhabitants behave in a way that is at odds with keeping up a state under the rule of law.

As a thought experiment, think what would happen if Mexico made drugs legal. Their government would had to fight against the cartels, and might at some point win.

What you have then is a system where Mexico has much less criminality. They can't export to the US directly of course, but people will just buy drugs legally in the Mexican north and try to smuggle it the the US. The US can decide for themselves if they want to legalize it or not, and if they don't the US criminality is still there, but the Mexican criminality is gone.

Well what would likely happen then is another 1989 Panama. One of the main reasons why the US invaded Panama was its involvement in drug trade. So the US would criticize Mexico publicly, and at some point probably invade it.

It looks to me like current time Mexico is stuck between a rock and a hard place. They must be opposed to drugs because their powerful northern neighbor wants them to, but outside market pressure, from the very same neighbor at the same time destabilizes it.

So it's an issue that should be solved by an outside party - the US. But that party won't tackle the issue because Mexican people can't vote in the US.

Sounds like bad US colonialism to me :-(

1 comments

> Their government would had to fight against the cartels, and might at some point win.

I dont think that would be a big problem. Everybody that has a car coule without any trouble start trafficing drugs into the US, without fear of the police. The goverment would essentially only have to be passiv antil the funds of the cartels drain.

Guns and stuff are expensive. A well organised logisics firm (for example) could outperform these cartels in drug transportation. All the goverment would have to do is protect the firms.

Many of the people that work for the cartels could get jobs in 'legal' frims that do the same thing, witch would be a better workplace for people.

> Well what would likely happen then is another 1989 Panama. One of the main reasons why the US invaded Panama was its involvement in drug trade. So the US would criticize Mexico publicly, and at some point probably invade it.

MMhhh possible but Im not sure the US people or the international community would stand for this. I doute that the US would go so far.

I think legalizing drugs is the only workable solution for Mexico.