[fauigerzigerk]

>Its basic math

Yes, once you have modeled the problem correctly and you know all the input parameters. This is not that: Session# * tps * 86400 (secs in a day) * 30 days.

I don't think there is enough public information to check Anthropic's claims regarding inference profitability. It depends not just on unknown technical factors but also on agreements they have with other companies.

[ai_fry_ur_brain]

I agree that we dont know how expensive SOTA is. But yes my math should give you the max amount of tokens you can sell per month, and its not remotely profitible for most of the larger open source models (at their current pricing). Im not sure why a 10x larger model that is more in demand would be profitible when its only 5x the price.

Its possible you could pay off hardware for Kimi 2.6 after maybe 2-3 yrs (by providing low tps / high concurrency) but you're now out of warranty and have been running your machines full throttle 24/7 for 2-3 years.

This is why moonshot attempted to double the price when they released 2.6 but then it got driven down by North American capital subsidies.