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by krupan 34 days ago
"clearly the AI we'll have in 5 years will be radically different and better"

Based on past performance that's not clear at all. Remember Elon predicting full self driving by 2017. It's almost 10 years past that predicted date and it's still not quite there. 5 years is nothing in tech. It takes 5 years to get a slightly improved chip designed and manufactured. It's been 3.5 years since ChatGPT was released and the LLMs of today are not radically different from that, and no radical changes have been teased. We're still in the throw-more-hardware-at-it phase. We could be here a while.