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by MostlyStable 34 days ago
I long ago stopped commenting on threads (in /r/CFB) about the SP+ college football model because it go so, so, so tiring correcting the exact same misunderstandings about things as fundamental as what the model was even purporting to do let alone, how it worked. It is incredibly disheartening to me to see the staggering level of statistical illiteracy on display in any online conversation about a statistical model. I've come to the conclusion that it's not worth my, or any one else's time. I'm glad these things exist, and the communities who want them will self select. It's not use trying to convert haters.
1 comments

I've long resigned myself to the fact that a lay audience will usually struggle to understand basic statistics. On HN though I don't expect to see those same issues much but have been surprised to see how many posters have trouble differentiating between 30%, 50%, and 99% probabilities.