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by wavemode 28 days ago
> NOAA has now placed the probability of a Super El Niño forming by winter at over 95%.

This claim appears to be false. According to this article's own source, the probability of an El Niño of any severity forming is over 95%, but there is still "substantial uncertainty" about what that severity is going to be.

https://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/analysis_monitoring/e...