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by delichon 31 days ago
I get a lot of value from prediction markets and query for them most days. Today for the Los Angeles Mayor's race and the Kentucky 4th district Representative race. In both cases I saw a big difference between the market and the vibe on my feeds. I believe that the market emits higher quality predictions.

Each market is a community with a financial incentive to think outside of the bubble.

1 comments

prediction more easily allow people to convert money into public opinion, which is suboptimal.