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by kshri24 37 days ago
> Isn't that always the case in the early stages of new technology adoption? It becomes less and less true as the new technology becomes more and more integrated.

Not true. Plenty go into the graveyard. At some point in time typewriters were everywhere. So were landline phones. Both were highly integrated into the system. They were replaced by much superior versions.

> In the first few years after electric motors became a thing, one could have said the same thing. We would have just gone back to steam. If you tried to "do without them" now, society would collapse.

Yes but there is nothing to state that the current version of LLMs is equivalent to electric motors. We could very well be in the typewriter/landline phones stage. You would need even more iterations to get something that is equivalent to electric motors.

Even electric motors themselves underwent multiple iterations to become economically viable. Lot of wasteful overhead needed to be eliminated and parts re-engineered to make it more efficient before it could be truly adopted.