[new_account_100]

> Just how "early stage" is that, and how much more integration does this "new technology" need to be?

Based on the way Claude has felt the last few weeks, I'd say we're about 3-6 months away from full AGI. At that point we can start truly replacing white collar workers in earnest and begin deep integration.

[nozzlegear]

AGI is a myth that these AI companies perpetuate as a convenient marketing tactic.

> At that point we can start truly replacing white collar workers in earnest and begin deep integration.

This is why AI is so deeply unpopular. Even in the "good" scenario proselytized by true believers, you still paint a bleak near-future where everyone loses their jobs.

[erikerikson]

Not a myth inherently but definitely unlikely on that timeline. ASI gets more mythical, probabilistically.

[nozzlegear]

Yeah, I don't mean to say AGI itself is a myth; more like AGI as OpenAI, Anthropic and Google would have us believe is perpetually right around the corner is a myth.

[erikerikson]

Agreed