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by rictic
39 days ago
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The author has written about stacked sigmoids in the past, e.g. in https://slatestarcodex.com/2018/10/15/is-science-slowing-dow... I suspect that he started down the path of considering them more deeply here but found that they didn't add much to the analysis. A stack of sigmoids ultimately either gives you a single sigmoid if you run out of new innovations, or an exponential if you don't. |
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