[sigmoid10]

AGI has become such a meaningless nondescript term, arguing when or how it is here has become pointless. Even OpenAI caved in and removed their AGI clause from their contract with Microsoft because they weren't fully sure that we are not there yet. The original ARC AGI was hailed as proof that AGI is not here yet, but now that ARC 1 and 2 got saturated, noone wanted to consider that perhaps we crossed the point where average humans are getting left behind. Frontier models are primarily limited by context and modality at this point, not by intelligence.

[Auracle]

To your point, if we had truly unlimited context to the point where at least that instance of a model could “learn” and have what seems like a continuous “consciousness” I think many of us would think that we’ve attained AGI.

Right now we have an incredibly smart thing with severe short term memory loss, and it’s hard for us to reconcile that as it’s so different from us.

[sigmoid10]

Quite a few people were already led to believe that these models are conscious when we had a fraction of current context lengths. Right now the biggest problem is that the "session" info in form of the current conversation gets lost too quickly, but that has become largely an implementation detail. You could fit an entire life's story into modern context windows. With some clever context management, you could probably build something that feels like what you describe. If we truly had this sort of short-term to long-term memory (i.e. from prompt context to weights) system on a technical foundation, we'd probably be closer to runaway superintelligence than mere AGI that could beat most humans on most tasks.