[simianwords]

1. If AI is like other technologies, there will be job displacement and temporary upheaval after which new jobs will be created and prosperity increases - this is by far the only good way to increase prosperity

2. If AI is so good that it is a proper superset of humans and can do all jobs humans can do, this is a huge deal and we don’t even have the vocabulary to express what would happen

I don’t foresee a third option.

[throwaway-11-1]

the fact no one can actually describe these "new jobs" makes #2 appear increasingly more probable.

[simianwords]

You can’t have predicted that an SDE 6 in Google working on ad tech using Google spanner and optimising for SEO at 1989.

That’s why you can’t say how jobs can be created now.

[_DeadFred_]

They could though. They could see job creation occurring AS the internet grew. I saw Netscape become an actual company. Saw CISCO grow. Saw tons of startups that employed people and saw the kinds of jobs it was bringing.

AI proponents says 'jobs appeared in the past after X, therefor they will magically appear in the future after Y' ignoring the industrial revolution started in the late 1700s and the lifestyle they brag about it delivering didn't come along until the late 1940s/1950s.