[grey-area]

Precisely none of it is related to LLMs. It's related to the political situation and the possibility of trade war and tariffs.

[Scarblac]

And actual war, given the threats to Greenland.

But especially that Microsoft blocked the work email of the ICC lead prosecutor for political reasons, that has all alarm bells ringing.

[tcp_handshaker]

Given how bad the US military performed against Iran, its pretty clear that any hostilities started by the US against NATO, would finish with a takeover of Washington within...2 weeks...

[hvb2]

What makes you say that?

Where does this weird expectation come from that you can basically achieve your goals in a 2 week air campaign?

If the US wanted to they could probably do a lot of damage but, as you can see in Ukraine, taking over a country is a whole different thing. Unless you're willing to go in with the army and are willing to lose a LOT of people. And even then it'll take months or years for a single country

[antonvs]

> Where does this weird expectation come from that you can basically achieve your goals in a 2 week air campaign?

From every US administration that’s started a war since about 1945.

[Scarblac]

Even if that fantasy was true in any way, the US can do enough damage to European digital systems to utterly cripple society on day 1.

[crote]

And of course the actions in Iran and Venezuela, demonstrating that even the most braindead threats aren't just empty bluffing.