[block_dagger]

It seems to me that the author fails to extrapolate on the effects of recursive self improvement. The only things preventing 95% engineer obsolescence will be compute/energy constraints and the speed of adoption, which can take years for large infrastructure companies. But it's coming.

[halfcat]

Cuts both ways. If supply chain attacks continue recursive self improvement, everyone’s going to be working in air-gapped facilities. Departments also need to be air-gapped from one another. And each team air-gapped. And so on.

There’s a speed limit, because the faster you go the less room for error you have. It’s the same as being heavily leveraged with debt. If you have a cash investment and it drops by 50% you can just wait. If you’re leveraged 100-to-1, a 1% drop forced liquidation and wipes you out.