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by csallen 37 days ago
Yes you can, in many cases. Go read a book about culture lol
1 comments

OK, I choose "The Poverty of Historicism". Which book did you have in mind?
The Better Angels of Our Nature, The Secret of Our Success, almost any book about patterns in human history.

Anyway, my point isn't about predicting historical or cultural changes at some hugely complex scale. My point is that it's simple and predictable that useful new technology is most hated when it's new, but eventually tends to be adopted and embraced and normalized when it's had some time. That is, assuming it's affordable and truly useful.

If you want to bet against that happening in this case because you believe culture can't be predicted, then I would gladly take that bet, any amount of $ you want to wager, and let's meet back here in 5 years.