[aorloff]

Well I can tell you the counterstory about the massive storm that didn't ruin BRC.

Firstly, there's a ton (TONs) of water left at the end of the burn, unless things have changed a lot in the past 20 years, nobody is running out of water. I'm guessing a few people have snacks left over.

Some people are getting pissy and hiking out, and the rest are going to party on until the road is rebuilt, helping one another the whole time, and some will be dancing their butts off.

I remember being with a group that had a van breakdown on the way into the playa, and the only sensible thing to do was tow it into the playa to get help from mechanic friends who would help fix the van on the playa.

[leptons]

That's fine and dandy after a few days, but if it goes on for 2 weeks? I think you are overestimating burners. And you also may not realize that the BLM has studied this exact scenario, and would be unlikely to let 70,000 people go out there again after a worst-case storm, especially if rescue is required. And no recent storm was as bad as the storm in 1998. But sure, go dance in the mud, I don't care.

[aorloff]

Well a storm that goes on for 2 weeks would be unusual.