[tw04]

> mainly European countries that are highly dependent on Gulf oil access.

Uh, no. Europe gets a tiny fraction of their oil from the middle eastern countries currently being affected and none of their natural gas.

> Your argument is that Israel started a war that Trump is finishing to divert from Epstein ties but that's tying together a bunch of conspiracy theories.

If you think the Epstein files are a “conspiracy theory” I guess we can end the discussion now because much like your claims Europe is dependent on the Middle East for energy, you have no idea what you’re talking about.

And do you really think Israel starts this without US backing? The war they’ve asked every president since Bush about starting but were told no by every predecessor to Trump, including Trump himself when he didn’t need a distraction his first term.

[rabidonrails]

You're right, I should have been more clear. There isn't a crude shock that would come from the middle east to Europe. That would be more an economic shock because of the demand from China/India on that crude which would then drive up the global price of the commodity. This in turn would create an economic shock - one that would be hard for Europe to withstand (as opposed to the US).

And, while that's true of crude itself, more refined oil products are heavily imported from the ME to Europe - I'm sure you've seen the news on jet fuel.

I do think that saying "oh, Trump did this so we stopped looking at the Epstein files" is a conspiracy theory. Doesn't mean it can't be right - just means that it's just conjecture.

All I did above was provide a different perspective - don't like it? Feel free to move along.