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by mproud 39 days ago
Supposedly commits on GitHub are up 14x YoY.
5 comments

They are getting spammed by AI agents?
Yes. There’s no other explanation for 14x, that’s nuts.
I'd say certianly yes. At my company we've set up an experiment: we've forked our monorepo and gave several agents (OpenClaw, Claude code, GH Copilot reviewer, Codex) full R/W access and a Slack channel where we give them tasks and they carry them out. The fork shows 490 commits ahead, 10 commits behind our real repo (we're only a couple people, and use "Squash and merge" on PRs).

They naturally produce bugs at an astonishing rate, and we don't review the code ourselves, but the project is growing faster than their context windows, and I believe we'll drop it soon.

Is it spam when they’ve been pushing for this shit and putting AI prompt everywhere fir a year or more?
Commits or pushes? Commits aren't really a worthwhile source of measurement in terms of load.
14x is insane, especially since the quality and quantity of IRL software has barely budged.

One could hope that we'd use these newfound agentic coding powers to actually realize value, improve quality, etc. Instead I see enshittification and stagnation. What are we even doing with all these tokens?

The same thing we’ve done with every other productivity increase in a world based on unfettered growth: garbage.
Supposedly commits on GitHub are up 14x YoY.

So?

If Microsoft can't scale, who can?

If it can't provide the service, it should stop selling until it can.

This is like the AOL dialup busy signal fiasco of the mid-90's all over again. Except this time, instead of getting mad, people are making excuses for the poor, beleaguered trillion-dollar company.

>If it can't provide the service, it should stop selling until it can.

You literally cannot buy GitHub Copilot right now [1].

1: https://github.com/features/copilot/plans

Precisely.

If Microsoft can't scale something like Git 14x, then the problem is with Microsoft.

I really don't understand people saying that this is due to AI commits and it is all the volume's fault.

A volume increase that is a single order of magnitude (which 14x is) should not result in this level of failures.

When I compare what Github does and the volumes vs social media companies, payment companies, video platforms, etc, it just doesn't make sense that it is just a volume problem.

It looks a lot more like a platform that already has baseline issues that are compounded by increased volume.

What happens at your job if there's suddenly 14 times as much load?
> What happens at your job if there's suddenly 14 times as much load?

You mean like every startup ever that has been successful?

And for a service that is heavily text bound? A 14x increase would not be a big deal.