[pedalpete]

Slowly, then all at once.

Computers were nowhere for ever, then everyone had them. The internet was tiny, then everywhere. Smartphones were a teensy market, then everyone had them. GLP1s were for a small group of diabetics, now a significant portion of the population take them.

This is how things playout time and time again.

Does it mean the commentors 10 years is correct? No. But it also doesn't need to be incredibly optimistic. All it takes is getting the robots right, and there are multiple companies who seem very close.

[marcosdumay]

It took almost 20 years from computers that nobody brought on electronics and photography stores to computers in everybody's desk.

Robots will probably be slower, because there is way less room for optimizing their cost.

[jcelerier]

robots have existed for more than 20 years though. Boston Dynamic's dog is 22 years old, Atlas 15-ish

[somewhatgoated]

What can I as a normal person use these robots for?

[Gigachad]

Nothing. They were designed for the military.

[padjo]

And what do the military use them for?

[toyg]

Supposedly as a sort of extremely expensive but basically tireless mule.

[marcosdumay]

Computers also existed for more than 20 years before they started being sold to end-users.

And again, the robots market will probably not evolve anything near as fast as the computers.

[Gigachad]

We have had more than 10 years of robotic vacuums and yet they are still a fairly niche product.

[dmix]

Mostly just the cost, yeah. It will be like buying a car. The economics will have to make sense for regular people, while it starts popping up in tons of places and become a status symbol.

[bigyabai]

Digital computers existed for ~10-20 years before hitting the consumer market. It took almost a half-century for the microprocessor to become a ubiquitous appliance.