[delichon]

All of the other markets are prediction markets too, in terms of opportunities to profit from inside knowledge. This is like vowing to quit smoking ... Marlboros.

[lapetitejort]

Would Martha Stewart be sentenced to prison for lying to federal investigators regarding her "prediction" of the release timing of her next cookbook?

[JuniperMesos]

Maybe, lots of things count as lying to federal investigators. I don't assume this is necessarily a just legal outcome though.