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by xrd 51 days ago
IANAL, obviously!

One question I have about legal AI startups/products, is how do they maintain or improve upon billing practices of law firms?

Having worked with a bunch of lawyers, I know that I'm often paying $500/hr to that firm. That work is actually done by a paralegal who is being paid $40/hr, and then I'm being billed through the partner for an extra $460/hr. This is a gross oversimplification, but you get the point.

If the partner needs to bring in $5M a year, how does any addition of tech solve that?

If I'm the customer of the law firm, I would love to have a more cost efficient way to get legal advice. But, I don't understand how those incentives are matched by the partner? I don't really think they want a more efficient result for their customers, they want a better way to get more billable hours. Adding "tech efficiency solutions" does not solve that issue at all.

Inevitably, customers will use LLMs on their own, and as people have noted, lose attorney client privilege (and often get hallucinated bad advice). There will probably be some very comical court room dramas when people try to represent themselves with an LLM on their shoulder.

Am I misunderstanding something fundamental about the legal world that will make a major law firm adopt this tech? I feel like there are some strong reasons they will universally avoid moving in this direction. Long term it will win and there will be blood on the floor, but why would any large firm adopt this stuff right now?

3 comments

The answer is: the market will work it out eventually. Clients will push for more work to be fixed-fee/outcome-based rather than billed hourly. There'll be some small firms who'll successfully grab lots of lower value clients who are willing to use digital tools to handle their work and don't particularly care about having a big fancy office in London or New York if it means lower bills (and they can then basically use the relationship they've had providing the supervised online service to be the first point of call when said client wants something that's less off-the-shelf and needs more work).

Also, an interesting example: in English litigation (where, broadly, loser pays unlike America where each side pays), maximising billable hours is not always a viable strategy for anybody if those costs aren't recoverable on success. Someone involved in large-scale commercial litigation involving disclosure of millions of documents who doesn't use algorithmic document classification (now pretty broadly accepted as normal) potentially runs the risk of a judge determining that the costs of going through all the documents by hand isn't recoverable. Insurers/litigation funders aren't going to want to risk padding the costs so much that the judge prevents them from recovering their stake in the litigation.

Customers using their own LLMs: yep, they might do that. I think the pitch from the legal LLM providers is "we've got legally trained people doing RLHF to make it more accurate" mixed in with "also we've got a partnership with Lexis/Westlaw/etc. so we can do legal research that's better than what's on the open web", with a little bit of "if you get sued for professional negligence, 'I used the legal AI thing that's built into Westlaw' is gonna be more convincing to a judge and jury (and your insurance company) than 'I used ChatGPT, yes, like the app you've got on your phone'...".

It really depends on the firm and what work they do. The firm I work for, we do not bill hours. We take a percentage of the recovered funds. It's high volume and many tasks are repetitive.

We don't have paralegals/attorneys handle cases from beginning to end. We have different positions handle different tasks. One person may only do scheduling, another does discovery, another handles reviewing releases.

For us, adopting tech to make us more efficient is a priority. Our setup is a bit unique, but I can see PI and collection firms adopting tech similar to this.

My guess is that capable lawyer who will be able to spot hallucination and figure out key stuff missed by AI will be satisfied to earn $500K a year, not $5M, so he will charge less. Those who charge $500/hr will simply extinct or will be a luxury used by very rich people for not particular reason, like the ones who buy other overpriced goods.
I'm not saying a partner earns $5M, but that he is responsible for bringing that into the firm.

I just don't understand how decision makers at a big firm are going to say yes to tech solutions when those solutions will kill the goose roaming their hunting grounds.

just a gentle reminder that most lawyers bill about 2200 to 2300 hours a year (at the top tier). Even at the crazy tier (no-life all work), lawyers generally don't exceed 3000 hours a year