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by tim-tday 55 days ago
You don’t want that. Because it would mean 5 rich dudes own all physical work. What happens to the rest of us when that happens? What economic system can we create that makes sense? (The current one does not make sense in that scenario. Game it out for five minutes like a chess game if you don’t believe me).

We urgently need an answer to that question before it happens. The Elon suggestion is so laughable as to be unworthy of an answer.

I’m not a roboticist but I get the core concepts and challenges (and I’ve been in the room with leaders in the space). And I know a bit about LLMs and the current state of AI systems.

the human-form robots out of China unlocking motion based on copying human motion indicate that generally useful human labor replacement robots should be on the market within five years (probably at a starting price of $40k) and really good within ten. (And market forces might drive the price to $20k in today’s dollars)

And given how long it takes to invent, validate and adopt new economic systems we need to predict the failure mode of what happens when 5 rich dudes own all work and everyone else is homeless and hungry (hint the French Revolution was a mini study on what happens when the top gets too heavy and the bottom stops having it)

Like I said, you don’t want this. Nobody wants this. Hopefully some smart billionaires figure that out and solve it soon enough to save their own skins. (Along with everyone else)

1 comments

Those 5 billionaire guys do want this- The french revolution probably wouldnt have happened the way it did if they had to deal with an army of terminator robots
But those guys aren’t cartoon villains. Supposing that they did just that, unleashing an army of Terminators to counter a revolution, and wiped out or imprisoned most of humanity. Uhh, what’s the game plan then? Having all the so-called “money” means very little if you obliterate the whole world’s economic system. Even having all the gold or all the chip fabs means very little when there’s no market for any of those things besides your security robot factories.

I think the billionaire class are deeply invested in the world continuing to exist in a reasonable state as opposed to a post-apocalyptic hellscape, and surely they must know this.