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by fc417fc802 59 days ago
Doesn't that just draw out the AI revolution by a few years? I don't see why it would stop anything though.

Imagine a scenario where someone claimed that it was physically impossible to replace all the buggies with automobiles because everything was backordered and there were labor shortages. Surely the replacement still happens eventually though?

1 comments

A drawn out long change simply doesn't have the major societal upset that imminent mass-unemployment has.

With how much scale AI datacenters want and how the Trump administration has made supply problems significantly worse, we'd be talking decades, plural.

I don't think lowering the rate a bit is going to be sufficient to avoid major upsets. If (arbitrary example) every software developer were forced to switch jobs over a 10 year period that would still be an extremely disruptive sequence of events. And I don't think there's any scenario in which software developers are widely impacted but other industries somehow aren't.

Digitization was already fairly disruptive and that involved much smaller changes than what we appear to be facing while also taking place over something like 30 years or more.