[aenis]

In a word, bottlenecks moved.

What I see in my backyard: coding now takes significantly less time, but its just coding. Before one gets to building there are squabbles between business and product people. Testing takes just as much as it used to. Since nice to haves are easy to add and product people begin to take it for granted, the product cycles don't get shorter.

Give it time. Right now its just coding, but procedural AI will come after product development, architecture, and then whatever is left of management.

[eieie]

Absolute delusion.

The best people can not only envision products but also possess great judgement without needing data. For AI to even come close it would need an insane amount of data that is nuanced and subtle - by the the time the AI has obtained all the necessary data and made sense of it the human is long gone working on something else.

[stasomatic]

But these people will age out and juniors do not get hired. “Good judgment comes from experience, and experience comes from bad judgment.” and all that.

Is LLM going to invent its own languages that no average programmer will understand? As in "I don't need your C++ human, I will rewrite your fart app in ClaudASM and you will like it". These are naive questions, but I can't visualize how all of this will unfold.