[tclancy]

You have sailed past the point. There were so, so many cod it was hard not to catch a bunch. That isn’t a metric, it’s an indicator that most likely meant vast unseen numbers. The tip of the iceberg is a metaphor for a reason, though it may become an anachronism within our lifetimes.

[vasco]

The argument is that we didn't notice, not that it's a predictor or whatever. And we noticed, so the argument is not good.