[coredog64]

It's the principal/agent problem: The overhiring is incredibly difficult to unwind because it led to the creation of empires. Everyone who is not a founder has more incentive to keep the empire because it props up their comp.

[shermantanktop]

I see this firsthand. Execs who are openly hostile to and distrusting of their own middle management.

These were supposed to be farsighted geniuses who took credit for their stock performance. But they made the most obvious blunder: opening a Pandora’s box that they can’t close.

[malfist]

How?

In 2022, Meta laid off 11,000 (13%)

In 2023, Meta did two layoffs, one of 10,000 (another 13.6%), one of 600

In 2024, Meta did a layoff (layoffs.fyi doesn't list the number)

In 2025, Meta did three layoffs, one of 3,600 (5%), 100 and 600 people

In 2026, Meta has done two layoffs, one of 200, and one of 8,000 (10%).

If you can't correct overhiring in 4 years as a CEO, you've failed. If you repeatedly have to do >10% layoffs every year for 4 years you've failed (if it's to correct for a one time hiring spree).

Meta's employment didn't skyrocket during the pandemic making this argument even more bullshit. Between 2012 and 2018 Meta averaged an employee count growth of 40% YoY. In 2020, they grew by 31%, 2021 22% and 20% in 2022. Meta slowed their growth during the pandemic.

This "pandemic overhiring" is bullshit.

[shamoo]

In 2012 meta had 4600 employees.

In 2018, 35,500.

From 2019 to 2022, 44k to 86k.

2026, as of now, 70k, 26k higher than 2019.

Using relative comparison is not appropriate for a software company, which is incredibly scalable by nature. Yoy is not the appropriate metric here. These are not workers on the line in a widget factory.

[burningChrome]

Just to play devils advocate here - but from 2022-2026 did they ever have any large hiring cycles that would replace some or most of these layoffs? Or should I believe none of the layoffs in the last four years have been replaced at all?

I do agree with your point about overhiring, its been way to long and this continues to be an excuse without any real evidence to back it up.

[nradov]

Whether it's bullshit or not, does that even matter? Meta's CEO, Mark Zuckerberg, has majority voting rights. This is not a secret. Everyone who considers working for or investing in Meta is aware that hiring and firing decisions are subject to his whims.