[krunck]

Quite literally EVERYTHING around us is now subject to possible manipulation by these idiots if they think they can profit.

Even the US Government has executive and legislative officials profiting from secret information they know from doing their duties.

I wonder when someone who does cloud seeding will place a bet about rain at some unlikely time and place.

Or the next large forest fire.

[Tangurena2]

> I wonder when someone who does cloud seeding will place a bet about rain at some unlikely time and place.

Each year, one of my state's legislators introduces a bill to outlaw chemtrails [0]. It never leaves committee. This year, he added the plot of Termination Shock [1] to his bill. This proposed legislation already includes "cloud seeding" as a crime. Penalty of $500k/day and each day is a separate crime.

0 - https://apps.legislature.ky.gov/record/26rs/hb60.html

1 - https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Termination_Shock_(novel)#

[aeternum]

And as a result we should gain stronger epistemology. How many cities base their official temperature readings on just a few sensors rather than a widespread network?

Sure you might argue, maybe this was an issue with Polymarket choosing a weak source rather than the gov, but is that really true? If you question measurements like this you quickly get labeled an climate denier.

IMO this is good for the world, temp measurements should be based on thousands of sensors not just one. And if cloud seeding works, all the better for humanity, it's likely a key to terraforming future planets.

[thrance]

You completely missed the issue. Météo-France already has tens of thousands of stations across the country, they're very obviously not basing their entire models off of one sensor in Paris CDG.

The degenerate idiots from Polymarket bet on this particular sensor. There's no law preventing people from betting on single sensors. And we can't make laws preventing people from acting on the world in all the diverse ways that can be exploited to cheat in prediction market.

We should just blanket ban this negative-value industry. We don't want people betting on forest fires and then starting them.

[aeternum]

I would like to see France ban the tourist scammers before they worry about fools willingly making stupid polymarket bets on a single sensor. Also good luck banning polymarket, isn't that the one that trades using crypto?

[thrance]

The "tourist scammers" are already illegal... Holy whataboutism.

[antif]

Not only is everything subject to manipulation, but it’s incentivized—with a new opportunity to capitalize on the unwitting.