[bayarearefugee]

If LLMs have roughly peaked, then everything is safe except for things that are already being eaten away like translation and call center work.

If they haven't and we have hit the exponential growth mark, nothing is safe and even the temporarily "safe jobs" will also suffer greatly from being crunched on both the supply and demand sides (there will be more labor supply for those jobs as the displaced try to flee to safe jobs, there will be less demand for the output of those jobs because the displaced will no longer have income to pay for those goods or services). And LLMs and robots will eventually come for many of those jobs too, likely at a rate that exceeds people's ability to retrain.

Better hope that either things have peaked, or that we can somehow manage to stop treating all forms of socialism as evil or we're going to see the violent unmaking of modern society in our lifetimes.

[Krssst]

Robots require material resources and are quite difficult to produce. I wouldn't be surprised if we go through a period of time were intellectual work is outdated and most people are back to exhausting manual work. Basically, no middle class anymore, just some elites and many manual workers doing what the AI asks. I guess, to those future elites, humans would just be self-reproducing robots. (well robots like those we have now would definitely see use, but I am not sure about the timeline for general-purpose robots that can do many things including assemble themselves).

I don't have a strong belief this will happen however, and I hope it does not.