[nojito]

>Prediction Markets require insider trading to function.

And yet there are folks like me who have been on them for years before kalshi/polymarket making a very good side income from them without having insider knowledge.

Prediction markets as a whole are very very inefficient. That's not to say that insider trading doesn't exist but you can't claim that they require insider trading to function.

[stouset]

> making a very good side income

If you had a reliable edge, your income would be exponential. Why isn’t it?

[nojito]

The markets I participate in tend to be illiquid, but as prediction markets get more popular things are getting better on that front.

[ShinTakuya]

Do you need a reliable edge or just a slightly better than average edge?