[nathancahill]

I saw a tweet about a trader placing an oil bet when they saw two military aircraft turn around on their way to Iran, via transponder. I believe before the deal was announced.

[3eb7988a1663]

That also sounds easy enough to fake for some plausible deniability.

[yellow_postit]

Just as parallel construction [1] is used by law enforcement to conceal methods and practices no reason to not expect the same for financial gain.

[1] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Parallel_construction

[wallst07]

Traders have been using satellite images from around the world for DECADES, it seems more likely to be true than a conspiracy from a insider who actually makes the decision or has first line access to it.

[3eb7988a1663]

If I have access to expensive real-time satellite imagery, I am not blasting my insights on Twitter.

[huorricannes]

in fact US army publicly admitting running a disinformation campaign involving flying planes knowing they would be seen by osint in the previous Iran attack from last summer