[xixixao]

This is the “ad tax” reasoning, but ultimately I think the answer is greater efficiency. So there is a real value, even if all competitors use the tools.

It’s like saying clothing manufacturers are paying the “loom tax” tax when they could have been weaving by hand…

[SlinkyOnStairs]

Software development is not a production line, the relationship between code output and revenue is extremely non-linear.

Where producing 2x the t-shirts will get you ~2x the revenue, it's quite unlikely that 10x the code will get you even close to 2x revenue.

With how much of this industry operates on 'Vendor Lock-in' there's a very real chance the multiplier ends up 0x. AI doesn't add anything when you can already 10x the prices on the grounds of "Fuck you. What are you gonna do about it?"

[groundzeros2015]

Yep and in a vendor lock in scenario, fixing deep bugs or making additions in surgical ways is where the value is. And Claude helps you do that, by giving you more information, analyzing options, but it doesn’t let you make that decision 10x faster.

[bigbadfeline]

We already know how to multiply the efficiency of human intelligence to produce better quality than LLMs and nearly match their productivity - open source - in fact coding LLMs wouldn't even exist without it.

Open source libraries and projects together with open source AI is the only way to avoid the existential risks of closed source AI.