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by sm0ss117 66 days ago
1. The four color theorem is a useful case study, for which the original proof was validated and 400 pages long. My prediction is that the first couple waves of proofs will be hard enough that a layman couldn't produce them, but simple enough that experts can verify them. Over time the most advanced proofs will get more and more complicated until humans can no longer verify them, this process could happen over the course of a few month or could take literally hundreds of years.

2. Especially early on the overwhelming majority of the proofs are likely to be uninteresting and more novel just because actually producing them would take expert time that's better spent elsewhere. That being said, as above over time I expect the interestingness of proofs to go up until they eventually regularly produce interesting proofs. The vast majority of proofs are likely to maintain their position as of no interest to humans for the simple reason that the vast majority of proofs are of no interest to humans.

In neither case will I make any particular guesses about a timeline beyond it seems like the way things will go.