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by boh 65 days ago
AI is destroying the economic premise that has drawn so much investment into Silicon Valley. It's going from a capital light business model with network driven moats that allow market domination, to a capital heavy, high burn-rate model with the potential to not only offer ZERO moat protection but destroy the ones that already exist. Cloud infrastructure + vibe coding now make it possible to quickly replace existing apps with custom fit alternatives. Open source+cheap Chinese LLMs may not be as good as Opus but maybe good enough turns out to be good enough ( Sun Microsystems Vs. Linux is a good example). Currently AI has just as much potential destroying Silicon Valley as it does building it up.
2 comments

The open weight LLMs seem a prime candidate for Innovator's Dilemma style disruption.
That sounds like Silicon Valley's fault for taking the actual silicon out of the valley.

Sounds like it's best to be the shovel manufacturer now.