[markisus]

Don’t get hung up on the Claude part. We already know an algorithm that produces AGI: evolution. We don’t have the compute to run this algorithm because it requires simulating the whole Earth. But with enough compute, it becomes possible.

[mysecretaccount]

The "Claude part" is important here, though. If you believe we can produce AGI by simulating physics then the existing paradigm is far too slow. A zettaflop does not even get close, you can have a moon-sized computer and it probably will not be able to produce AGI using the current transformer-based, extremely slow, classical computing architecture. We need to improve the underlying computation paradigm.

This is why the focus on raw compute is a poor use of engineering time. We have plenty of it, we are just headed in the wrong direction.