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by cyanydeez 76 days ago
All evidence is point to LLMs not being sufficient for the taks everyone want them to do. That harness and agentic capabilities that shove them through JSON-shaped holes are utterly necessary and along with all the security, that there's no great singularity happening here.

The current tech is a sigmoid and even using the abilities of the AI, novelty, improvements don't appear to be happening at any exponetial pace.

1 comments

> The current tech is a sigmoid

What makes you say that? I'm only asking because the data I've seen looks pretty cleanly exponential still, e.g. https://metr.org.