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by deklesen 66 days ago
This also seems to implicitly assume that ai models won't get better - a bet I am not willing to make currently..
2 comments

Models get better with money (reinvestment).

But if there aren't enough returns soon the money will eventually dry up for OAI and Anthropic and Google will not be trusted with their cash balance.

Its amazing how people here think that money is a play-thing and this dance can go on forever. It cant and wont and the fear-induced marketing doesnt work forever either.

This is a false equivalence. Models get better with more & better data.

Both more data and better data are very expensive. Procuring... Handling... All of the above...

You can spend bottomless piles of cash and by not doing the right things not get there. I can count on one hand the number of times I've seen business/investor incentives line up with r&d incentives.

There's no guarantee that there is enough or good-enough data, regardless of how much money you have.

They're not getting better data. They're now ingesting their own generated slop and bad habits are being reinforced.
Agreed. The confidence people have to predict what these tools will be capable of two years down the line, when it's barely been over a year since Claude Code was first released, is astounding.