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by pacificpendant
66 days ago
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Having previously spent a reasonable amount of time on Metaculus I’m familiar with Brier scores and rating my confidence. I assume that’s how I was able to get better than average results. It’s an interesting app. It’s something I’m interested improving on as well as predictions in general. I saw you suggested Thinking Fast and Slow and I’ve skimmed through some of Superforecasters. Metaculus have a bunch of resources too. https://www.metaculus.com/help/prediction-resources/ |
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