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by cyanydeez 78 days ago
Yeah, most likely it was try to identify a bias of human perception, that 1,2,3,4,5,6 would be more probably than 6x6.

A better way to illustrate this bias is with coin flips. People will tell you that odds of 6 heads is more rare than the odds 3 tails then 3 heads. The difficulty is understanding whether they mean "in order" or "as a group".

If it's in order, the odds are the same. Every order of H/T has the same probability, but humans will see "all heads" and think that's more rare. But the important bit is whether there's a clear understanding ordering.

1 comments

That's definitely better framing for this question. Much cleaner way to illustrate that point!