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by kpw94 74 days ago
Wild differences in ELO compared to tfa's graph: https://storage.googleapis.com/gdm-deepmind-com-prod-public/...

(Comparing Q3.5-27B to G4 26B A4B and G4 31B specifically)

I'd assume Q3.5-35B-A3B would performe worse than the Q3.5 deep 27B model, but the cards you pasted above, somehow show that for ELO and TAU2 it's the other way around...

Very impressed by unsloth's team releasing the GGUF so quickly, if that's like the qwen 3.5, I'll wait a few more days in case they make a major update.

Overall great news if it's at parity or slightly better than Qwen 3.5 open weights, hope to see both of these evolve in the sub-32GB-RAM space. Disappointed in Mistral/Ministral being so far behind these US & Chinese models

4 comments

You're conflating lmarena ELO scores.

Qwen actually has a higher ELO there. The top Pareto frontier open models are:

  model                        |elo  |price
  qwen3.5-397b-a17b            |1449 |$1.85
  glm-4.7                      |1443 | 1.41
  deepseek-v3.2-exp-thinking   |1425 | 0.38
  deepseek-v3.2                |1424 | 0.35
  mimo-v2-flash (non-thinking) |1393 | 0.24
  gemma-3-27b-it               |1365 | 0.14
  gemma-3-12b-it               |1341 | 0.11
  gpt-oss-20b                  |1318 | 0.09
  gemma-3n-e4b-it              |1318 | 0.03
https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text?viewBy=plot

What Gemma seems to have done is dominate the extreme cheap end of the market. Which IMO is probably the most important and overlooked segment

That Pareto plot doesn't seem include the Gemma 4 models anywhere (not just not at the frontier), likely because pricing wasn't available when the chart was generated. At least, I can't find the Gemma 4 models there. So, not particularly relevant until it is updated for the models released today.
Gemma 4 31B has now wiped out several of those models from the pareto frontier, now that it has pricing. Gemma 4 26B A4B has an Elo, but no pricing, so it still isn't on that chart. The Gemma 4 E2B/E4B models still aren't on the arena at all, but I expect them to move the pareto frontier as well if they're ever added, based on how well they've performed in general.
> Wild differences in ELO compared to tfa's graph

Because those are two different, completely independent Elos... the one you linked is for LMArena, not Codeforces.

> Very impressed by unsloth's team releasing the GGUF so quickly, if that's like the qwen 3.5, I'll wait a few more days in case they make a major update.

Same here. I can't wait until mlx-community releases MLX optimized versions of these models as well, but happily running the GGUFs in the meantime!

Edit: And looks like some of them are up!

absolute n00b here is very confused about the many variations; it looks like the Mac optimized MX versions aren’t available in Ollama yet (I mostly use claude code with this)
the benchmarks showing the "old" Chinese qwen models performing basically on par with this fancy new release kinda has me thinking the google models are DOA no? what am I missing?