| > [0.1% gate error rate] is still wildly out of reach This is false. When Fowler et al assumed 0.1% gate error rates would be reached for his estimates in 2012 [0], that was ostentatious. Now it's frankly a bit overly conservative. All the big architectures are approaching or surpassing 0.1% gate error rates. From 2022 to 2024, the google team improved mean two qubit gate error rate from 0.6% [1] to 0.4% [2]. Quantinuum's Helios has a two qubit gate error rate of 0.08% [3]. IBM has Heron processors available on their cloud service with two qubit gate error rates ranging from 0.2% to 0.7% [4]. Neutral atom machines have demonstrated 0.5% gate error rates [5]. [0]: https://arxiv.org/abs/1208.0928 [1]: fig 1c of https://arxiv.org/pdf/2207.06431 [2]: fig 1b of https://arxiv.org/pdf/2408.13687 [3]: https://arxiv.org/abs/2511.05465 [4]: https://quantum.cloud.ibm.com/computers?processorType=Heron (numbers may vary as the website is not static) [5]: https://arxiv.org/abs/2304.05420 |