[zhengyi13]

It's been interesting to review my portfolio, such as it is, against this situation, and see that I'm down relatively little. Not because I've bet against anything per se, but I made a conscious decision years ago to diversify out of the SP500 ("VTSAX and chill!") into broader and exUS indices.

[loeg]

The broader US market is only about 25% bigger than the S&P500, FWIW. (Or put another way, S&P500 is about 80% of all US equity.) They also trade in almost lockstep:

https://totalrealreturns.com/n/VFIAX,VEXAX?start=2025-01-01

[IAmBroom]

"Almost".

This is specifically one of those points in stock history where it isn't true; the heavyweights of the S&P 500 are dragging it down while the smaller companies are less affected.

[loeg]

I brought a graph in my earlier comment! Even over the past year, they're highly correlated. (And the S&P500 is ahead over the period -- not the other 25%.)

[readthenotes1]

Aren't most exUS stocks dominated by the US economy?

Getting mostly out of hateful 8 hype isn't bad though when they're going down...

https://investor.vanguard.com/investment-products/etfs/profi...