[singleshot_]

> Why wound anyone open a bet on "rando's house will be set on fire"? Why would they bet on "yes"?

Bettor is an impoverished arsonist with no morals and confidence in his anonymity.

Better question: why would a person ask a question with such a breathtakingly obvious answer?

[bit-anarchist]

So, you are telling me this "impoverished arsonist" opened a bet on "will this rando's house be burned?", wagered on "yes" (with what money?), other people (who?) bet on "no" and no one found it suspicious? I hope you do realize that making it a public bet exposes information, and the very subject of the bet can be used to prove intentions.

Nevermind the fact about what would happen after the crime, should it even happen. It seems this hypothetical arsonist isn't just immoral, but also incredibly stupid (and that also begs more questions, like how do they have access to prediction markets like this).

For something so "breathtakingly obvious", it seems poorly thought through.

[singleshot_]

Okay, now I understand why you’re asking questions like this.

[bit-anarchist]

Sure, but regardless your perception about my motivations, I'm genuinely curious as to what prompted the "breathtakingly obvious" comment, because I'm ain't seeing it. Preferebably in a less snarky fashion, should we proceed with respect to one another.