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by banannaise 83 days ago
The evidence that this controller was overworked is that practically all controllers in the US at present are overworked. As such, that should be treated as the null hypothesis, and it would require substantial evidence to show that he isn't overworked.
2 comments

Couldn’t we just… wait to see what FAA says before coming up with our own (entirely speculative) theories?
NTSB is the relevant institution, not FAA.
Can we trust the FAA's conclusion?

Its previous head had a term that didn't expire until 2028 but he resigned after pressure from Elon Musk (who didn't like that he got fined), now a Trump-friendly head has been installed. What, realistically, would be the consequences if he lied? Likely none. Government officials lying on record is an every day occurrence these days.

True! Assumptions and speculation are always better.

I’m glad we’ve made our conclusions up front before the report has even come out.

That saves me a lot of reading!

Come on, this is silly. The fact that air traffic controllers are overworked is neither an assumption nor speculation. It is very widely documented.
The only thing we know so far is from two minutes of ATC audio.

That’s literally it. Anything else is speculation and extrapolation.

But don’t let that stop you if you already know what caused the tragedy.

It does not at all mean that this controller was overworked when this crash happened; that would be failed reasoning and misuse of evidence. It just raises the question, which should be looked at.

It's scary that so many don't seem to know the difference. This is how misinformation starts and spreads.

You're 100% right, a "Trump-friendly" administrator has been "installed" so we can't trust the FAA's conclusions. The last guy quit so this guy is definitely going to lie.
I'd pay to watch someone say this in a court of law...
https://www.law.cornell.edu/wex/reasonable_person

The concept most certainly exists.