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by M95D 90 days ago
It's most likely because of deindustrialization of those countries, not efficiency increase [1]. Aluminium production (electrolysis), steel production (arc furnace), heavy manufacturing (lathes, drills, welding, various motors, robots, etc.) were all moved elsewhere.

You may argue that Jevon's paradox might not apply to home power use. I mean, how many lights and how many refrigerators could one house possibly have? But AI use and it's associated power consumption is VERY susceptible to Jevon's paradox.

[1] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Jevons_paradox

2 comments

> I mean, how many lights and how many refrigerators could one house possibly have?

Once-upon-a-time a "bright" bulb consumed 80W of power. Today we achieve the same light output with 8W of LEDs, and order of magnitude decrease in power consumption. Multiply that by every home, every street light, every office build, every airport, hospital and stadium. That kinda improvement in efficiency adds up very quickly.

Sure plenty of developed countries have deindustrialised, but most the heavy industry that been lost was lost before mass electrification. Arc furnaces, large scale aluminium production etc. These are all pretty modern technologies. If you look at the UK the only major steel foundry left is a gas fired blast furnace, we basically have zero arc furnaces, because we deindustrialised before the damn things we're being used for large scale steel production.

Electrification of heavy industry is a surprisingly recent trend, and is only really happening in countries that aren't deindustrialising, and view continual process improvement in heavy industry as an important long term activity.

Also I think climate control is quite susceptible to Jevin's paradox, especially since heavier use of air conditioning requires heavier use of air conditioning by other people in the area.