[a_ba]

Just because it's a binary choice doesn't make it a 50/50 chance. Flipping a fair coin (50/50) is different from flipping a weighted coin (say 80/20) even though the possible outcomes are the same.

[Insanity]

No, but I'm just saying, people vote based on feels.

[croes]

Insiders don‘t and you’re ignoring the reasons why insider trading is suspected.

It’s not because they bet, because how and when they bet

[gzread]

Yes, and they consistently lose money to insiders who vote based on actual knowledge.