[n_u]

I think they mean they would prefer more rigorous statistical analysis.

"Rigor cleans the window through which intuition shines" - Ellis Cooper

[HPsquared]

"Collapse" isn't within the statistical distribution though, so you'd still to apply judgement in any case. I suppose it's a word with many definitions.

[KK7NIL]

> "Collapse" isn't within the statistical distribution though

Uh? Maybe you could explain what you mean by this a bit more.

[HPsquared]

1. It's not a rigorously defined term.

2. "System collapse" would be unexplored territory, so how would statistical analysis be able to infer when it occurs?

[KK7NIL]

1. Not really. If the crash rates we're seeing under the Trump administration are higher than any similar length period in the last ~10 years, we should start to worry.

2. See above.