| Eh, the line of better quality output is suspect. I’ve been looking at AI productivity gains, and the idea that it’s better quality output is the weakest claim that can be made. There ARE more software project starts, yes. This also means it’s a more crowded field to be noticed in. Also productivity gains are HIGHLY variable. I see some people being 2x more effective, most people publicly willing to claim 30% efficiency gains, and a more likely 15% gain for most people. At the same time, I hear of cases in content and media where it’s essentially a wipeout. I know of a story where a firm went to an advertisement agency with an AI generated video they wanted, and only wanted the animations cleaned up. When they got the quote for the costs to have it done professionally, they decided to just go with the AI generated video. Fraud is another area which is seeing a boom. The degree of information pollution we are seeing has also seen a step change. This matters because all the rosy eyed theories of productivity gains from AI do not account for changes to our shared information commons. The business cases that come to mind are Fast Fashion, and Coke vs Pepsi, and Tobacco. |