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by joshuamoyers 94 days ago
i appreciate the sentiment to a certain extent - its not going away, skate to where the puck is if you care to do so. but the writing is repetitive and theres an entire repeated paragraph (bullet to paragraph form). there are also lots of things to be worried about even for the most seasoned individuals in terms of half decade increments conservatively. assuming large parts of swe become commoditized in the form of paying a handful of frontier model providers more and more of the share of what was once swe wages, the high end is what survives. high context fox-like (a la terrence tao's foxes and hedgehogs) are guiding ai to build - and then they are eventually displaced as well. extreme societal pain seems like its on the horizon assuming we dont have some incredibly unlikely massive mobilization towards post-work post-scarcity thinking with active social safety nets. economic diffusion probably means this is a little further away than we think, but time moves pretty damn fast.
1 comments

> high context fox-like (a la terrence tao's foxes and hedgehogs)

Pedantically, I think you mean Isaiah Berlin's foxes and hedgehogs[0].

> assuming we dont have some incredibly unlikely massive mobilization towards post-work post-scarcity thinking with active social safety nets

The problem being that we're not actually heading toward post-work or post-scarcity. We're heading towards post-knowledge-work. Any chance of UBI or similar will be summarily shot down by the Epstein class, most likely by using their ownership of 90+% of the media to drive a class war between the ascendant blue collar workers and the collapsing white collar workers.

[0]: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/The_Hedgehog_and_the_Fox